Category Archives: Residential Real Estate

What To Expect When Closing On Your House

If you’re a first‑time homebuyer, or even if it’s been a while since your last purchase, this video will walk you through exactly what to expect on closing day so you can walk in confident and walk out a homeowner.

Let’s start with the basics.

Closing — also called settlement — is the final step in your residential real estate transaction. It’s the moment when:

  • Money changes hands
  • Documents get signed
  • Ownership officially transfers
  • And you get the keys to your new home after the Deed is Recorded

Think of it as the finish line of the home‑buying journey.

Before you even sit down at the closing table, a few important things happen:

1. Final Walkthrough

Usually within 24 hours of closing, you and your agent walk through the property to confirm it’s in the same condition as when you made the offer and that any agreed‑upon repairs were completed.

2. Review Your Closing Disclosure

Your lender must provide this at least three days before closing. It outlines:

  • Your loan terms
  • Closing costs
  • Prepaid taxes and insurance
  • Cash needed to close

Review it carefully — this is your chance to ask questions before signing anything.

Now let’s talk about what actually happens during the closing appointment.

You’ll Sign Documents

A lot of them. These include:

  • The promissory note
  • The mortgage or deed of trust
  • The settlement statement
  • Various disclosures required by state and federal law

You’ll Bring Your Funds to Close

This is usually done via certified funds or wire transfer. No personal checks.

The Title Company or Attorney Finalizes Everything

They’ll:

  • Verify your identity
  • Confirm the lender has funded the loan
  • Record the deed with the city or town
  • Issue your title insurance policies

Once everything is signed and recorded… you’re officially the owner.

After closing, you’ll receive copies of your documents — either digitally or in a physical folder.

You’ll also get:

  • Your keys
  • Garage door openers
  • Any appliance manuals
  • And sometimes a welcome packet from the seller

From here, you can move in, change the locks, and start making the home your own.

If you found this helpful, please subscribe for more real estate tips, homebuyer education, and Rhode Island market insights.

If you’re thinking about buying or selling a home — or you want to understand the closing process in more detail — reach out anytime. I’m here to guide you every step of the way.

Thanks for reading, and congratulations in advance on your closing day.

Cooling But Sticky Inflation

Inflation has been a hot topic throughout 2025, and recent data indicates that it is inching closer to the Federal Reserve’s target. As of September 2025, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) sits at 3.0%, showing signs of cooling. However, inflation remains sticky, with the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index, the Fed’s preferred measure, hovering around 2.7%. While these figures suggest progress, the persistence of inflationary pressures means that the Fed’s job is far from over.

Interest Rates: Fed’s Response to a Softening Labor Market

In response to the softening labor market, the Federal Reserve has shifted its stance on interest rates. After cutting rates in September and October 2025, the current rate stands at 3.75%–4.00%. The Fed’s goal is to support the labor market and stimulate economic activity. Another 0.25% cut is possible in mid-December, though not guaranteed. This proactive approach by the Fed aims to mitigate the impact of rising unemployment and ensure economic stability.

Home Prices and Sales: A “Richcession” in Real Estate

The real estate market is experiencing its own set of challenges. Nationally, home price growth has nearly flatlined, slowing to just 1.1% year-over-year in October 2025. We are witnessing a “richcession” in real estate, with prices actively declining in 32 of the top 100 metros, particularly in “Zoomtowns” and pandemic boom markets like Florida, Texas, and California. Sales activity remains sluggish, as high costs have locked out first-time buyers, and the “lock-in effect” keeps some inventory off the market. Current 30-year fixed mortgage rates are averaging in the high-6% range, approximately 6.3%. Despite these high rates, refinance retention has hit a multi-year high as homeowners desperately seek to lower monthly payments where possible.

Forecast: What to Expect in 2026

Looking ahead to 2026, the consensus is “Stability, over Growth.” We are moving toward a balanced market, but affordability will remain a primary challenge. The recession risk is moderate, with the “soft landing” being the baseline scenario. However, the rising unemployment rate (4.4%) is a warning sign. If job losses accelerate, a mild recession could occur. Home prices are expected to remain flat to slightly down, with national prices growing 0%–2%. However, price drops are anticipated in the South and West as inventory floods those markets. Mortgage rates are expected to gradually decline, averaging near 6% and potentially dipping to 5.9% by late 2026. A return to 3% rates is unlikely. With incomes rising faster than home prices, affordability will improve slightly for the first time in years.

Best Strategy for Buyers and Sellers

For buyers, now is the time to leverage your negotiating power, which is stronger than at any point since 2019. For sellers, pricing realistically is critical, as bidding wars are largely a thing of the past. Navigating the real estate market in 2026 will require a strategic approach, but with the right information and preparation, both buyers and sellers can achieve their goals.

In conclusion, while the economy is growing, it is doing so at a slower pace. Inflation is cooling but remains sticky, and the labor market is softening. The Federal Reserve is taking steps to support the economy, and the real estate market is experiencing a “richcession.” As we look ahead to 2026, stability is the key theme, with moderate recession risk and gradual improvements in affordability. By staying informed and strategic, you can navigate these economic changes successfully.

The above image was created with ai based on data in this post.

Providence Housing Market: A Resilient Outlook Amid National Trends

For months, we’ve all been hearing about how the housing market is “stuck”—high mortgage rates, affordability challenges, and cautious consumers. Home Depot’s most recent analyst call echoed those themes, pointing to weak housing turnover, consumer uncertainty, and the absence of storm-driven demand as drags on their sales.

But here’s the thing: while those national headwinds are real, Greater Providence continues to show resilience. Let’s break it down.

📉 National Trends That Hit Home

  • Housing Turnover Slows: Across the country, fewer people are buying and selling homes. That means less remodeling, less furnishing, and fewer big-ticket projects.
  • Consumer Caution: Shoppers are deferring discretionary spending. Kitchens, bathrooms, and flooring projects are being put on hold until confidence returns.
  • Storm Activity: Believe it or not, storm seasons drive demand for repairs and rebuilding. A mild season means less of that emergency-driven activity.

📊 Greater Providence Snapshot

  • Inventory: Just 227 homes for sale in late October, with only 86 new listings. Supply is tight.
  • Speed: Homes go pending in about 15 days. Buyers must move fast.
  • Prices: Average home value sits at $419,889, up 1.1% year-over-year. Median sale price in October was $515,000, up 3% YoY.
  • Neighborhoods:
    • College Hill: ~$968,317
    • Downtown: ~$548,504
    • Federal Hill: ~$430,068
    • Valley/Smith Hill: ~$369K–$373K

🧭 What It Means for Buyers & Sellers

  • For Buyers: Yes, rates are high. But inventory is scarce, and homes are still moving quickly. Waiting for the “perfect” rate could mean missing out on the right property.
  • For Sellers: Demand remains strong enough to keep values stable. Homes are selling near list price, often with multiple offers. If you’re considering listing, the market is still in your favor.
  • For Investors: Providence remains attractive as a safe-haven asset. Tight supply and steady demand make real estate here a hedge against broader economic uncertainty.

🔮 Outlook

Nationally, the housing market is in a holding pattern—waiting for lower rates or stronger consumer confidence. Locally, Providence’s severe inventory shortage keeps values resilient. Expect modest price growth (~3.5% in 2026), fast-moving listings, and continued competition in desirable neighborhoods.

Bottom Line: The same forces slowing Home Depot’s sales—cautious consumers, weak turnover, affordability pressures—are shaping our housing market. But in Greater Providence, scarcity keeps the market competitive. If you’re thinking about buying, selling, or investing, the window of opportunity is still open.

Above image and some data generated by AI.

50-Year and Portable Mortgages

50-Year Mortgages: Would I Recommend One?

Would I recommend a 50-year mortgage to my daughter, who is currently renting? Honestly, building equity with such a loan would be slow. Fully owning the property free-and-clear could take a lifetime—or even longer. On top of that, the interest rate on a 50-year mortgage would almost certainly be higher. It would be higher than on a traditional 30-year loan.

That said, I wouldn’t outright oppose it. Here’s why.

Why a 50-Year Mortgage Might Make Sense

  • Lower monthly payments: Even modest reductions can make a difference in qualifying ratios.
  • Fixed payments vs. rising rents: Mortgage payments stay the same, while rents inevitably increase over time.
  • Automatic equity through appreciation: Home price gains build equity regardless of the mortgage balance.
  • Flexibility to pay down faster: Extra payments from raises or bonuses can shorten the payoff timeline significantly.
  • Future refinancing or trading up: Homeowners have options if rates decline. They can refinance into shorter terms. Alternatively, they can move into a new property with a better loan structure.

In short, while the 50-year mortgage is far from perfect, it can serve as a stepping stone into homeownership. It is beneficial for renters who might otherwise remain on the sidelines.

Assumable and Portable Mortgages: Pros and Cons

We’re considering unconventional mortgage structures. It’s worth exploring assumable and portable mortgages. These two ideas could reshape affordability if implemented more widely.

Assumable Mortgages

An assumable mortgage allows a buyer to take over the seller’s loan under its original terms. Imagine assuming a 30-year fixed loan from January 2021 at 2.65%. Compare that to today’s rates north of 6%, and the appeal is obvious.

The Catch

  • Equity gap: Buyers must cover the difference between the home’s current value and the remaining loan balance. Often this requires a second mortgage at a higher rate.
  • Approval hurdles: Lenders must approve the assumption, and buyers must meet financial qualifications.
  • Seller liability: Unless formally released, sellers may remain liable for the loan even after transferring it.

Government-backed loans (FHA, VA, USDA) are generally assumable, but conventional loans rarely are.

Potential Improvements

  • Expanding assumability to Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac loans.
  • Offering low-cost “top-up” loans to bridge equity gaps.
  • Educating consumers and professionals to normalize the practice.

Still, the government can’t retroactively make existing non-assumable loans assumable. That ship has sailed for the ultra-low-rate loans of 2020–2022.

Portable Mortgages

A portable mortgage allows borrowers to transfer their existing loan to a new property. This concept is common in the UK but rare in the U.S.

Benefits

  • Keeps the borrower’s low interest rate intact when moving.
  • Reduces the need to start fresh with higher-rate financing.

Challenges

  • Requires a new mortgage application with full underwriting.
  • Borrowers must cover the gap between the new home’s price and the existing loan balance.
  • U.S. lenders may resist, since they profit from “churn” in mortgage origination.

The Bigger Picture

Both assumable and portable mortgages offer intriguing ways to ease affordability pressures. But they face significant hurdles—legal, financial, and political.

Meanwhile, the 50-year mortgage proposal has already sparked debate. Lawrence Yun is the chief economist for the National Association of Realtors®. He warns that the “small savings” in monthly payments come with “significant trade-offs.” Slow equity build makes trading up difficult. Meaningful equity may not arrive until the final decade of the loan.

Ultimately, subsidizing demand without increasing supply risks pushing home prices even higher. The only true solution to the housing crisis is simple, though not easy: build millions more affordable homes.

✅ Takeaway for Renters and Buyers: A 50-year mortgage isn’t ideal, but it can be a gateway to homeownership. Assumable and portable mortgages could help in theory, but they’re far from mainstream in practice. For now, the smartest path remains balancing affordability with flexibility. This involves buying when ready. It also means paying down aggressively when possible and staying alert to refinancing opportunities.

📣 If you’re weighing your options in today’s complex housing market, don’t go it alone. Whether you’re a renter considering your first purchase, I’m here to help. If you’re a homeowner exploring refinancing, I’m here to help. Perhaps you are simply curious about how these evolving mortgage products could impact your future, I’m here to help.

👉 Subscribe to my newsletter for practical insights. Tune into The Joe Luca Real Estate Show on Tuesdays at 6pm EST at WNRI.com, for weekly updates. You can also reach out directly to discuss your personal situation. Together, we can cut through the noise and chart a clear path toward smart, sustainable homeownership.

This post was created with information from Lawrence Yun at NAR.com, Realtor.com, Bloomberg.com and Kiplinger.com.

Why Now Is a Great Time to Buy a House in Southern New England

If you’ve been dreaming of owning a home in Southern New England—think Connecticut’s charming towns, Rhode Island’s coastal gems, or the historic corners of southern Massachusetts—2025 might be your moment. As of March 11, 2025, the real estate market here is showing signs of opportunity for buyers. From economic shifts to local trends, here’s why now could be the perfect time to plant your roots in this picturesque region.

1. Interest Rates Are Settling Down

After a wild ride in recent years, mortgage rates appear to be stabilizing across the U.S., and Southern New England is no exception. While we’re not back to the rock-bottom rates of the 2010s, the steep climbs of the early 2020s have eased. For buyers in places like New Haven or Providence, this means more predictable mortgage payments and a chance to lock in a rate before any surprises. With the Federal Reserve keeping a close eye on inflation, rates could hold steady—giving you a solid window to finance that Cape Cod-style home or colonial fixer-upper.

2. Inventory Is Ticking Up Across the Region

Southern New England has felt the inventory crunch hard, with sellers clinging to their low-rate mortgages or waiting out peak prices. But early 2025 is bringing a shift. In towns like Mystic, CT, or Bristol, RI, more “For Sale” signs are popping up. Maybe it’s empty nesters downsizing, retirees heading south, or homeowners feeling the market has topped out. Whatever the reason, this uptick means more choices—whether you’re eyeing a waterfront cottage in Narragansett or a suburban spread in West Hartford. More options also mean less cutthroat bidding wars, a welcome relief for buyers.

3. Prices Are Softening in Hotspots

The pandemic boom sent prices soaring in Southern New England, especially in desirable spots like Fairfield County or the South Shore of Massachusetts. But as demand normalizes, some of these overheated markets are cooling. Sellers who bought at the 2021 peak might be more open to negotiation, especially in areas where listings are lingering a bit longer. In places like Cranston, RI, or Milford, CT, you could snag a deal that feels more reasonable than it did two years ago. It’s not a buyer’s market everywhere, but the balance is tipping your way in many towns.

4. Southern New England’s Long-Term Appeal Holds Strong

This region’s charm—historic villages, top-notch schools, and proximity to both Boston and New York—makes it a perennial winner for real estate investment. Even with short-term ebbs and flows, home values here tend to climb over time. Buying now in, say, Portsmouth, RI, or Simsbury, CT, sets you up for equity growth as hybrid work trends keep the area attractive to professionals and families alike. A home purchased in 2025 could be your family’s cornerstone—and a financial win—by 2035.

5. Local Incentives Are Sweetening the Deal

From builders in growing suburbs like Plainfield, CT, to sellers in competitive markets like Attleboro, MA, incentives are emerging. New developments might offer rate buydowns or closing cost help, while individual sellers could throw in extras—like covering roof repairs or offering flexible move-in dates—to close the deal. These perks can shave thousands off your upfront costs, making homeownership more attainable in a region where prices can still feel steep.

6. Seasonal Timing Works in Your Favor

March in Southern New England is a quiet season for real estate. The spring rush hasn’t fully kicked in, and winter’s chill keeps some buyers indoors. That means less competition as you tour that farmhouse in Litchfield County or that bungalow in Westerly, RI. Sellers listing now might be extra motivated—perhaps they’re relocating for work or eager to sell before the summer crowd arrives. It’s a strategic moment to strike while the market’s still waking up.

A Word of Caution

Southern New England’s market varies widely—Greenwich, CT, is a different beast from Fall River, MA. Check local trends, get pre-approved, and team up with a realtor who knows the area inside out. Coastal properties might still carry flood insurance costs, and older homes could need TLC. But for those ready to navigate these quirks, the rewards are there.

The Bottom Line

March 2025 is shaping up as a buyer’s sweet spot in Southern New England. With steadier rates, growing inventory, softening prices in key areas, and the region’s enduring appeal, the stars are aligning. So, grab your map, hit the open houses—from Stamford to Stonington—and make your move. That quintessential New England home, complete with a front porch and autumn leaves, might be waiting for you right now.

If you have any questions, or would like to connect, email me: Joe@JoeLucacaRealtor.com

What Credit Score Do You Really Need To Buy a House?

When you’re thinking about buying a home, your credit score is one of the biggest pieces of the puzzle. Think of it like your financial report card that lenders look at when trying to figure out if you qualify, and which home loan will work best for you. As the Mortgage Report says:

“Good credit scores communicate to lenders that you have a track record for properly managing your debts. For this reason, the higher your score, the better your chances of qualifying for a mortgage.”

The trouble is most buyers overestimate the minimum credit score they need to buy a home. According to a report from Fannie Mae, only 32% of consumers have a good idea of what lenders require. That means nearly 2 out of every 3 people don’t.

So, here’s a general ballpark to give you a rough idea. Experian says:

“The minimum credit score needed to buy a house can range from 500 to 700, but will ultimately depend on the type of mortgage loan you’re applying for and your lender. Most lenders require a minimum credit score of 620 to buy a house with a conventional mortgage.”

Basically, it varies. So, even if your credit isn’t perfect, there are still options out there. FICO explains:

“While many lenders use credit scores like FICO Scores to help them make lending decisions, each lender has its own strategy, including the level of risk it finds acceptable. There is no single “cutoff score” used by all lenders, and there are many additional factors that lenders may use . . .”

And if your credit score needs a little TLC, don’t worry—Experian says there are some easy steps you can take to give it a boost, including:

1. Pay Your Bills on Time

Lenders want to see that you can reliably pay your bills on time. This includes everything from credit cards to utilities and cell phone bills. Consistent, on-time payments show you’re a responsible borrower.

2. Pay Off Outstanding Debt

Paying down what you owe can help lower your overall debt and make you less of a risk to lenders. Plus, it improves your credit utilization ratio (how much credit you’re using compared to your total limit). A lower ratio means you’re more reliable to lenders.

3. Don’t Apply for Too Much Credit

While it might be tempting to open more credit cards to build your score, it’s best to hold off. Too many new credit applications can lead to hard inquiries on your report, which can temporarily lower your score.

Bottom Line

Your credit score is crucial when buying a home. Even if your score isn’t perfect, there are still pathways to homeownership.

Working with a trusted lender is the best way to get more information on how your credit score could factor into your home loan.

Stock Market Turmoil & The Housing Market

Stock market fluctuations can have several indirect impacts on the housing market, although the relationship is complex and influenced by many factors. Here’s a concise overview:

  1. Wealth effect: When stocks rise, investors feel wealthier and may be more inclined to purchase homes, potentially driving up housing demand and prices.
  2. Consumer confidence: Stock market performance often influences overall economic sentiment, affecting people’s willingness to make large purchases like homes.
  3. Interest rates: Stock market trends can influence Federal Reserve policy on interest rates, which directly impacts mortgage rates and housing affordability.
  4. Investment alternatives: Some investors view real estate as an alternative to stocks, potentially increasing housing demand when the stock market underperforms.
  5. Corporate profits: Strong stock performance may lead to increased hiring and wages, improving homebuying power for some consumers.
  6. Construction and development: Publicly traded homebuilders and real estate companies may have more capital to invest in new projects when stock prices are high.
  7. Foreign investment: Global stock market trends can influence international real estate investment patterns.

What impact, if any, do these points have on home prices???

Home prices can be impacted in various ways by these points:

  1. Wealth effect: When people feel wealthier due to stock market gains, they may be willing to spend more on housing. This increased demand can drive up house prices.
  2. Consumer confidence: High confidence can lead to more home buyers entering the market, potentially pushing prices up. Conversely, low confidence can reduce demand and prices.
  3. Interest rates: Lower interest rates typically make mortgages more affordable, increasing demand and potentially driving up house prices. Higher rates can have the opposite effect.
  4. Investment alternatives: If real estate is seen as a more attractive investment than stocks, increased demand from investors can push house prices higher.
  5. Corporate profits: Improved economic conditions can lead to wage growth and job creation, allowing more people to afford homes and potentially increasing prices.
  6. Construction and development: Increased building activity can affect supply. In some cases, this might moderate price growth, but in high-demand areas, new luxury developments could raise average prices.
  7. Foreign investment: Increased foreign investment in real estate can drive up prices, especially in desirable urban areas or vacation destinations.

Please Note: These factors interact in complex ways and their impact can vary depending on your local market conditions, economic cycles, and other variables. Which is why you should always consult a Full-Time, Experienced, REALTOR when starting the process to buy or sell a home.

Are Home Prices Going To Come Down?

Today’s headlines and news stories about home prices are confusing and make it tough to know what’s really happening. Some say home prices are heading for a correction, but what do the facts say? Well, it helps to start by looking at what a correction means.

Here’s what Danielle Hale, Chief Economist at Realtor.com, says:

“In stock market terms, a correction is generally referred to as a 10 to 20% drop in prices . . . We don’t have the same established definitions in the housing market.”

In the context of today’s housing market, it doesn’t mean home prices are going to fall dramatically. It only means prices, which have been increasing rapidly over the last couple years, are normalizing a bit. In other words, they’re now growing at a slower pace. Prices vary a lot by local market, but rest assured, a big drop off isn’t what’s happening at a national level.

The Real Estate Market Is Normalizing

From 2020 to 2022, home prices skyrocketed. That rapid increase was due to high demand, low interest rates, and a shortage of homes for sale. But, that kind of aggressive growth couldn’t continue forever.

Today, price growth has started to slow down, which is a sign the market is beginning to normalize. The most recent data from Case-Shiller shows that after being basically flat for a couple of months last year, prices are going up at a national level – just not as quickly as before (see graph below):

The big takeaway? So far this year, there’s been a much healthier pace of price growth compared to the pandemic.

Of course, that’s what’s happening now, but you may be wondering what’s next for prices. Marco Santarelli, the Founder of Norada Real Estate Investments, says:

“Expert forecasts lean towards a moderation in home price growth over the next five years. This translates to a slower and more sustainable pace of appreciation compared to the breakneck speed witnessed in recent years, rather than a freefall in prices.”

It’s all about supply and demand. Increasing inventory plus limited buyer demand, due to relatively high mortgage rates, will continue to ease some of the upward pressure on prices.

 What This Means for You

 If you’re thinking about buying a home, slowing price growth is welcome news. Skyrocketing home prices during the pandemic left many would-be homebuyers feeling priced-out. 

While it’s still a good thing to know the value of the home you buy will likely continue to go up once you own it, slowing price gains are making things feel more manageable. Odeta Kushi, Deputy Chief Economist at First American, says:

“While housing affordability is low for potential first-time home buyers, slowing price appreciation and lower mortgage rates could help — so the dream of homeownership isn’t boarded up just yet.”

Bottom Line

At the national level, home prices are not going down. And most experts forecast they’ll continue growing moderately moving forward. But prices vary a lot by local market. That’s where a trusted real estate agent comes into play. If you have questions about what’s happening with prices in our area, reach out.

How the Economy Impacts Mortgage Rates

As someone who’s thinking about buying or selling a home, you’re probably paying close attention to mortgage rates – and wondering what’s ahead.

One thing that can affect mortgage rates is the Federal Funds Rate, which influences how much it costs banks to borrow money from each other. While the Federal Reserve (the Fed) doesn’t directly control mortgage rates, they do control the Federal Funds Rate.

The relationship between the two is why people have been watching closely to see when the Fed might lower the Federal Funds Rate. Whenever they do, that’ll put downward pressure on mortgage rates. The Fed meets next week, and three of the most important metrics they’ll look at as they make their decision are:

  1. The Rate of Inflation
  2. How Many Jobs the Economy Is Adding
  3. The Unemployment Rate

Here’s the latest data on all three.

1. The Rate of Inflation

You’ve probably heard a lot about inflation over the past year or two – and you’ve likely felt it whenever you’ve gone to buy just about anything. That’s because high inflation means prices have been going up quickly.

The Fed has stated its goal is to get the rate of inflation back down to 2%. Right now, it’s still higher than that, but moving in the right direction (see graph below):

2. How Many Jobs the Economy Is Adding

The Fed is also watching how many new jobs are created each month. They want to see job growth slow down consistently before taking any action on the Federal Funds Rate. If fewer jobs are created, it means the economy is still strong but cooling a bit – which is their goal. That appears to be exactly what’s happening now. Inman says:

“. . . the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that employers added fewer jobs in April and May than previously thought and that hiring by private companies was sluggish in June.”

So, while employers are still adding jobs, they’re not adding as many as before. That’s an indicator the economy is slowing down after being overheated for quite some time. This is an encouraging trend for the Fed to see.

3. The Unemployment Rate

The unemployment rate is the percentage of people who want to work but can’t find jobs. So, a low rate means a lot of Americans are employed. That’s a good thing for many people.

But it can also lead to higher inflation because more people working means more spending – which drives up prices. Right now, the unemployment rate is low, but it’s been rising slowly over the past few months (see graph below):

It may seem harsh, but a consistently rising unemployment rate is something the Fed needs to see before deciding to cut the Federal Funds Rate. That’s because a higher unemployment rate would mean reduced spending, and that would help get inflation back under control.

What Does This Mean Moving Forward?

While mortgage rates are going to continue to be volatile in the days and months ahead, these are signs the economy is headed in the direction the Fed wants to see. But even with that, it’s unlikely they’ll cut the Federal Funds Rate when they meet next week. Jerome Powell, Chair of the Federal Reserve, recently said:

“We want to be more confident that inflation is moving sustainably down toward 2% before we start the process of reducing or loosening policy.”

Basically, we’re seeing the first signs now, but they need more data and more time to feel confident that this is a consistent trend. Assuming that direction continues, according to the CME FedWatch Tool, experts say there’s a projected 96.1% chance the Fed will lower the Federal Funds Rate at their September meeting.

Remember, the Fed doesn’t directly set mortgage rates. It’s just that whenever they decide to cut the Federal Funds Rate, mortgage rates should respond.

Of course, the timing of when the Fed takes action could change because of new economic reports, world events, and other factors. That’s why it’s usually not a good idea to try to time the market.

Bottom Line

Recent economic data may signal that hope is on the horizon for mortgage rates. Let’s connect so you have an expert to keep you up to date on the latest trends and what they mean for you.