Why today’s mortgage rates matter—but shouldn’t make the decision for you.
If you’ve been paying attention to the housing market lately, mortgage rates are once again dominating the conversation.
That’s understandable. When mortgage rates rise, monthly payments rise. Buyers can lose purchasing power. Homeowners with existing low-rate mortgages become even more reluctant to move.
According to Freddie Mac’s Primary Mortgage Market Survey, the average 30-year fixed-rate mortgage reached 7.28% as of October 1, 2026, up from 7.03% the previous week and 6.95% two weeks earlier.
Those numbers matter.
But I think there’s a danger in allowing one number—even an important one—to make an entire real estate decision for you.
The better question isn’t simply:
“Are mortgage rates too high to move?”
It’s:
“Given today’s market, my finances and what I’m trying to accomplish, does making a move still make sense for me?”
Those are two very different questions.
Should I Wait for Mortgage Rates to Come Down Before Buying a Home?
I hear variations of this question all the time.
Nobody wants to take out a mortgage at 7% if they believe they can wait and get one at 6%, 5% or even lower.
The problem is that none of us knows exactly where mortgage rates will be six months or a year from now.
And while you’re waiting for rates, other things can change.
Home prices can rise or fall. Inventory can improve or tighten. Your income and financial circumstances can change. The particular house or neighborhood you want may become more—or less—affordable.
That’s why I think prospective buyers should begin with affordability rather than a prediction.
Can you comfortably afford the right home under today’s conditions?
And just as importantly:
Would owning that home improve your situation enough to justify the cost?
If the answer is no, don’t force the purchase.
But if the answer is yes, today’s mortgage rate becomes one part of a much larger decision.
What If I Already Have a 3% or 4% Mortgage?
This may be an even more difficult question for existing homeowners.
Millions of homeowners obtained mortgages during periods when rates were considerably lower than they are today.
If that’s you, giving up a 3% or 4% mortgage can understandably feel like giving up something extremely valuable.
Because you are.
But here’s where the decision gets more complicated.
A great mortgage doesn’t necessarily mean the house is still great for your life.
Maybe you’re approaching retirement and don’t need as much house anymore.
Maybe the stairs are becoming difficult.
Maybe property maintenance is becoming burdensome.
Perhaps you need to be closer to children or grandchildren.
Maybe you’re going through a divorce or another significant family change.
Perhaps your financial circumstances have changed.
Or maybe the house that made perfect sense 15 or 20 years ago simply doesn’t fit the life you’re living today.
Your low mortgage rate absolutely belongs in that calculation.
But so does everything else.
Should Higher Mortgage Rates Stop Me From Selling?
Not necessarily.
For a homeowner, the decision to sell shouldn’t begin and end with the mortgage market.
It should begin with:
What happens after I sell?
Consider two very different homeowners.
One sells a $700,000 house and purchases another $700,000 house using substantial financing.
The other sells a $700,000 house, has significant equity and downsizes into a $450,000 condominium.
Those homeowners are operating in exactly the same mortgage-rate environment—but the financial impact of today’s rates could be completely different.
The same applies to someone who plans to sell and rent, relocate to a less expensive area, purchase with cash, move closer to family or transition into some other housing arrangement.
That’s why blanket statements like “It’s a terrible time to move because rates are high” aren’t particularly useful.
The right answer depends upon the homeowner.
Before Asking “Is This a Good Time to Sell?” Ask Three Questions
When I sit down with homeowners who are considering a significant real estate decision, I think it’s useful to separate the conversation into three parts.
1. Should I make a change?
This comes before the market analysis.
What are you trying to accomplish?
Has the house become too expensive, too large or too difficult to maintain?
Are there accessibility concerns?
Has your family situation changed?
Would moving improve your finances?
Would another housing arrangement improve your quality of life?
We need to understand the problem before we can decide whether selling the house is the solution.
2. If I make a change, where am I going?
This question is sometimes overlooked.
Selling a house is one transaction.
Figuring out where you’re going next is a life decision.
Maybe that’s another single-family home.
Maybe it’s a condominium, one-level home, 55+ community or rental.
Maybe you’re relocating to another state or moving closer to family.
And sometimes exploring those options reveals that staying exactly where you are is actually the better choice.
3. When should I make the change?
Now we can start talking seriously about market conditions.
What is your current home worth?
How much do you owe?
How much equity would you have after selling expenses?
What would the next property cost?
How much would you need to borrow?
What would your new monthly housing expense look like?
And, yes:
What are mortgage rates?
The market belongs in the conversation.
I just don’t believe it should automatically control the conversation.
Sometimes the Best Advice Is: Don’t Sell Yet
That may sound like a strange thing for a REALTOR® to say.
But I believe there are situations where the appropriate advice is:
Don’t move yet.
Maybe the numbers simply don’t work.
Perhaps the right replacement property isn’t available.
Maybe relatively modest modifications to your existing home could solve the problem you’re trying to address.
Perhaps six months of additional preparation would put you in a much stronger financial position.
Or perhaps you’re simply not ready.
That’s okay.
I don’t believe my job is to convince every homeowner I meet to put a For Sale sign in the front yard.
My job is to help people understand their options so they can make a good real estate decision.
Sometimes that results in a transaction.
Sometimes it results in a plan.
And sometimes it results in deciding to stay put.
Don’t Just Ask What Your House Is Worth
One of the first questions homeowners naturally ask is:
“What could I sell my house for?”
That’s certainly important.
But I think we need to go farther.
Suppose your house could sell for $600,000.
Great.
Now let’s determine:
What do you owe?
What are the likely costs associated with selling?
How much equity will you actually walk away with?
Where will you live afterward?
What will that cost?
Will you need another mortgage?
How much will you need to borrow?
What will your new monthly housing expense be?
And then comes the question I care about most:
When everything is finished, are you financially and personally better off than you were before?
That’s a much more useful measure of a successful real estate decision than the selling price alone.
Rates Change. Good Decision-Making Doesn’t.
Mortgage rates will change again.
They always do.
Home prices will change.
Inventory will change.
Economic forecasts will change.
And there will always be another headline telling homeowners that now is either the perfect time or the worst possible time to make a move.
Your individual circumstances matter more than the headline.
Your home is part of your finances, your family, your lifestyle and whatever chapter of life comes next.
So if you’re wondering whether today’s mortgage rates mean you should buy, sell, downsize, relocate—or remain exactly where you are—I wouldn’t begin by asking:
“Where are mortgage rates going?”
I’d begin somewhere else:
“What are you trying to accomplish?”
Once we understand that, we can evaluate the house, your equity, the market, financing and the available alternatives together.
And then we can determine whether making a move actually makes sense.
Thinking About a Change? Start With a Conversation.
You don’t have to decide that you’re selling your home before talking with a real estate professional.
If you’re considering buying, selling, downsizing, relocating or simply wondering whether your current home still makes sense for the next chapter of your life, I’m happy to help you work through the options.
No pressure to sell. No predetermined answer. Just a conversation about what makes sense for you.
Joe Luca, REALTOR®
CIPS • SRES® • MRP • ABR®
RE/MAX Preferred
Joe is a Licensed REALTOR, providing Residential Real Estate Services in Massachusetts and Rhode Island and Income Property Advisory Services nationwide.
Joe is 2018 President of the Rhode Island Association of REALTORS. Member, Board of Directors, National Association of REALTORS®.
Joe has worked with many 501(c)3 corporations as a Broker and volunteering his time, skills, and services.

